TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether San Antonio will win its professional basketball game against Dallas. Currently, the probability of San Antonio winning on Kalshi is 87.0%, while Dallas winning is at 14.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the San Antonio vs Dallas Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, as reported by Kalshi. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if San Antonio wins the contest scheduled for October 24, 2026, and will be finalized by the resolution date of October 25, 2026.
If San Antonio wins the San Antonio vs Dallas Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dallas wins the San Antonio vs Dallas Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently with new information, potentially identifying value that sportsbooks haven't fully priced in.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe San Antonio will win, the price of contracts predicting that outcome will increase, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, providing a forward-looking assessment of the matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Antonio vs Dallas game. Factors such as the final score and any official rulings will be considered to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on their positions in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either San Antonio or Dallas would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Unexpected news regarding team strategies, coaching changes, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any significant changes in public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, may contribute to price movements within this market.