TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:34 AM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the USL Championship game, scheduled for October 24 at 8:30 PM ET.
More markets for the USL Championship game, scheduled for October 24 at 8:30 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each market operates. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently in response to new information, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of probabilities as the event approaches. Comparing the two can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates the collective expectation of the outcome, and changes in price signal shifts in sentiment. Volume plays a role, as higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the price.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Antonio FC vs. Orange County SC match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result and settle the market accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out based on the final share price, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. It’s important to monitor the event and official sources as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions would likely impact the odds. Additionally, real-time performance during the match itself – such as early goals or red cards – could cause rapid shifts in prices. Weather conditions, if severe enough to affect gameplay, could also be a factor. Finally, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could also influence the market, reflecting a change in sentiment among traders.