TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming USL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between San Antonio FC and New Mexico United.
This event is for the upcoming USL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between San Antonio FC and New Mexico United.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and public perception, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. This can lead to odds that diverge from those found at sportsbooks, particularly when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information, potentially offering more up-to-date probabilities than traditional sources. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb. Conversely, if sentiment shifts towards a different outcome, the price of its shares will decrease. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most current collective assessment of the event’s possibilities.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the San Antonio FC vs. New Mexico United match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the league or governing body responsible for the match. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which market participants are entitled to a payout. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable information.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Key player injuries or suspensions for either San Antonio FC or New Mexico United would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising winning or losing streak, could also alter market sentiment. Even external factors like weather conditions on game day or major news related to the teams could trigger movement. Any information that changes the perceived probability of either team winning has the potential to move this market.