TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Bolivia's Premier Division. Bettors can speculate on whether one team will secure a victory or if the game will end evenly. The result is determined solely by the final score after the standard match duration, excluding any additional periods.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the San Antonio Bulo Bulo versus Real Potosi match scheduled for October 24, 2026, following 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time. A victory for either San Antonio Bulo Bulo or Real Potosi will resolve the respective market to Yes, while a draw will resolve the Tie market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours, all markets will be settled at a fair price as determined by the platform. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from the resolution criteria, focusing only on the result after regular time.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to balance their risk and ensure profitability, while this market is driven purely by individuals predicting the outcome. If sportsbook odds suggest a clear favorite, it's interesting to see if this market agrees, or if traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a different result. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or analytical approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Bolivian soccer match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The market’s depth – the volume of contracts available at different price points – also indicates the level of confidence in those predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the San Antonio Bulo Bulo versus Real Potosi soccer match, as reported by a recognized sports news source. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome wins the market. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions affecting the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in previous matches for either team, or significant changes in player form, could also cause the odds to adjust. Public perception and analysis from soccer experts, even if not directly impacting the game, can also influence trading activity and, therefore, the market’s price.