TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Samsunspor vs. Trabzonspor
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Samsunspor vs. Trabzonspor?

Volume:
$260,080

Trabzonspor

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 11:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Trabzonspor

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$112,079
N/A
N/A
$73,802
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Trabzonspor

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$41,949
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Samsunspor

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69,227
N/A
N/A
$28,252
Settled
No
polymarket

Samsunspor

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,810
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,224
N/A
N/A
$17,624
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Samsunspor vs. Trabzonspor)

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,791
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Super Lig soccer match between Samsunspor and Trabzonspor scheduled for October 10, 2026. Markets exist for Samsunspor winning, Trabzonspor winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms consistently define resolution based on the 90-minute result and provide a clear fallback hierarchy for data sources.Primary resolution logic: Official TFF statistics (https://tff.org/)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the outcome (win, loss, or draw) within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the match is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the match is canceled entirely without a rescheduled date, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official TFF data is unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or as soon as official statistics are available, whichever is later.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Süper Lig game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between Samsunspor and Trabzonspor.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor professional Super Lig soccer match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A Yes outcome occurs if the specified team wins within regular time; a Tie market resolves Yes if the match concludes with an equal score. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The rules explicitly exclude Kalshi from any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets are driven by genuine belief and allow traders to set the prices themselves. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as markets aggregate information from a diverse set of participants. However, sportsbooks often have lower transaction costs and may offer different types of wagers not available in prediction markets. The volume on this market is currently $260,080, indicating significant interest.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; Polymarket has a volume of $260,080 while Kalshi has a lower volume, potentially leading to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the specific market design and liquidity provisions on each platform can influence price formation. These differences create opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from price variations across venues.