TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:42 AM EST
Kalshi
Two professional basketball teams compete in a high-stakes match where the outcome determines the winner based on the final score. The game's result is official once the clock hits zero and all players have cleared the court. Any last-second shots or overtime periods count toward the final determination.
Markets resolve based on which team wins the officially recorded final score of the Samsung Thunders vs Daegu Pegasus men's professional South Korea KBL basketball game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 at 3:30 AM EDT. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their own analysis. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the crowd believes there's an edge not yet priced in by sportsbooks, or vice versa. It's common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially closer to the event date, as more information becomes available and is incorporated into the pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing the possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likely result of the Samsung Thunders versus Daegu Pegasus game. The current top market on Kalshi is for Daegu Pegasus to win, though the implied probability is subject to change with every trade.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Samsung Thunders versus Daegu Pegasus game in the Korean basketball league. The platform will verify the result against official league standings and game statistics to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their prediction matched the actual result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching strategies for either the Samsung Thunders or the Daegu Pegasus could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even significant shifts in public sentiment and betting trends, could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, any major announcements related to the Korean basketball league itself, such as rule changes or playoff implications, might also move this market before it resolves.