TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 3:29 AM EST
Kalshi
The Samsung Lions and SSG Landers will compete in a Korea KBO baseball match scheduled for early October 2026. The outcome depends entirely on which team secures a victory in this head-to-head contest. If neither team wins outright, the result will be split evenly.
This event involves two primary outcomes: Samsung Lions winning the game or SSG Landers winning the game. If the originally scheduled match is postponed or delayed but played within two days, the market remains open until completion. Cancellations or rescheduling beyond two days result in a fair price resolution. A tied game resolves both markets at 50/50. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. As a result, the odds on Kalshi may adjust more quickly to new information or changing sentiment than those found at sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information and the incentives of participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a team will win, the higher the price of its contract will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and provide a real-time forecast of the championship winner.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the KBO championship series, determining which team is crowned the champion. The market will settle to 100 for the winning team and 0 for all others. Traders should monitor official KBO announcements for the final results, as these will be the basis for market settlement.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries or trades for either the Samsung Lions or the SSG Landers would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected performance from starting pitchers, changes in team momentum during the regular season, and even weather conditions affecting game play could all influence trader sentiment. Major upsets in playoff games, or any news impacting team morale, could also lead to substantial movements in the market price as traders adjust their predictions.