TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 5.5 runs scored
- Kalshi
Over 5.5 runs scored - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 01d:06h:35m
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This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in an upcoming baseball game between the Samsung Lions and KT Wiz. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds set for the match. It reflects the anticipated scoring level of the game based on team performance and strategies.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by both the Samsung Lions and KT Wiz in their KBO game scheduled for November 4, 2026. Each threshold—over 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs—defines a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the combined score exceeds that specific line. All markets are based on the official game result and are independent of any affiliation with the governing league, with all trademarks and brand names belonging to their respective owners. The resolution hinges solely on the actual runs scored during the game as scheduled, without regard to any modifications or cancellations unless explicitly stated in additional rule context.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the game’s expected outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders submit bids (the price they are willing to buy a 'yes' contract) and asks (the price they are willing to sell a 'yes' contract). When a bid and ask match, a trade occurs. The price reflects the probability that the total runs will be over or under the implied threshold. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand – if more traders believe the total runs will be high, the price of 'yes' contracts will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total runs scored in the Samsung Lions versus KT Wiz game will be used to determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome prevails. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game. Traders holding a 'yes' contract will receive a payout if the total runs exceed the implied threshold, while 'no' contract holders will be paid out if the total runs fall below it.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Samsung Lions or the KT Wiz could significantly shift expectations. Weather forecasts, particularly if there's a chance of rain that could affect scoring, will also be closely watched. Furthermore, performance in recent games, pitching matchups, and even subtle shifts in public sentiment, as reflected by betting patterns on Kalshi, can all contribute to price movements in this market.