TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 9:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in a specific baseball game between the Samsung Lions and KT Wiz. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed certain thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams in a single match.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by both the Samsung Lions and KT Wiz in their KBO game scheduled for October 7, 2026, at 5:30 AM EDT. Each market corresponds to a different run total threshold—specifically, whether the combined score exceeds 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. All markets resolve based on the actual run count from the game as officially recorded by the KBO. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners. The resolution of each market is contingent solely on the final, confirmed score of the game, with no adjustments for disputes or later changes unless explicitly stated by official league records.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective predictions of many individuals. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction market odds are dynamic and change based on trading activity, potentially converging with sportsbook odds as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total runs scored will be over or under 7.5. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution of potential outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Higher prices indicate greater confidence in the 'over' outcome, while lower prices suggest more belief in the 'under'. The market's price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, offering a unique perspective on the event's likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the Samsung Lions versus KT Wiz game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics will be used to determine whether the total runs exceed or fall short of 7.5. The resolution will be based on the official scorekeeping of the KBO, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or account for any losses based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or pitching changes for either the Samsung Lions or KT Wiz would likely have a significant impact. Weather forecasts, particularly the potential for rain delays or cancellations, could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, late-breaking reports on team strategies or lineup adjustments might shift traders' expectations. Even general market sentiment and overall betting trends in the KBO could contribute to price movements in this market.