TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 9:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional baseball game between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It allows participants to speculate on whether one team will win by a specific number of runs or more. The result depends entirely on the final score of the game as it concludes under official conditions.
The event consists of four distinct outcome markets all tied to the same baseball game between the Samsung Lions and KT Wiz, scheduled for October 7, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether a specific team wins by a designated run margin: KT Wiz by over 2.5 runs, KT Wiz by over 1.5 runs, Samsung Lions by over 1.5 runs, or Samsung Lions by over 2.5 runs. All markets share the same underlying game and time, and each has an independent yes/no resolution criterion. The secondary rules clarify that the platform is not officially affiliated with the governing league and that all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. No adjustments are made for postponements or changes unless explicitly stated elsewhere; the stated time and teams define the official contest.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management strategies, while this market relies on individuals expressing their beliefs about the game's outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into differing perspectives on the Samsung Lions versus KT Wiz spread.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the actual spread will be above or below the listed value. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants trading in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Samsung Lions versus KT Wiz game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the KBO, the Korean Baseball Organization. The market will determine whether the actual spread landed above or below the value represented by the contracts traded on Kalshi. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final market price.
Several factors could influence the KBO spread market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Samsung Lions or the KT Wiz would likely cause movement. Weather forecasts, particularly if rain is predicted, could also impact the market as they may affect the game's conditions. Additionally, significant shifts in public sentiment or late-breaking analysis from baseball experts could lead to changes in trading activity and, consequently, the price of contracts in this market.