TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 10:24 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Polina Iatcenko will advance against Dalma Galfi in their Samsun tennis match. Currently, Polymarket gives a 10.0% probability to Game Spread: Dalma Galfi (-3.5) vs Polina Iatcenko (+3.5). The resolution source for this market is the official WTA Tennis scores website at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Traders should watch the match scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET, as the outcome will depend on whether Polina Iatcenko advances against Dalma Galfi in Samsun.
This market refers to the tennis match between Polina Iatcenko and Dalma Galfi in the Samsun, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Polina Iatcenko' if Polina Iatcenko advances against Dalma Galfi. This market will resolve to 'Dalma Galfi' if Dalma Galfi advances against Polina Iatcenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Iatcenko vs Galfi match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome will occur, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants in the market.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Iatcenko vs Galfi match, as reported by a trusted source for professional tennis results. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the match's completion and final score to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Polina Iatcenko or Dalma Galfi, or changes in playing conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also contribute to price movements. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns or expert analysis, could also cause the market to react and adjust its predictions before the Oct 14, 2026 resolution.