TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 7:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucrezia Stefanini and Noma Noha Akugue in the Samsun, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucrezia Stefanini' if Lucrezia Stefanini advances against Noma Noha Akugue. This market will resolve to 'Noma Noha Akugue' if Noma Noha Akugue advances against Lucrezia Stefanini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucrezia Stefanini and Noma Noha Akugue in the Samsun, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucrezia Stefanini' if Lucrezia Stefanini advances against Noma Noha Akugue. This market will resolve to 'Noma Noha Akugue' if Noma Noha Akugue advances against Lucrezia Stefanini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides of a bet and ensure profitability. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional sources, potentially leading to odds movements that precede changes at sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving sentiment and information available to the traders on Polymarket, creating a real-time assessment of the potential result of the Stefanini vs Akugue match.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Lucrezia Stefanini and Noma Noha Akugue as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. The market will close and settle shortly after the official result is available.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also cause adjustments in the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in outlook, leading to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 14, 2026.