TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 9:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between McGiffin/Wagner and Jakupovic/Salden in the Samsun, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'McGiffin/Wagner' if the team of McGiffin/Wagner advances against Jakupovic/Salden. This market will resolve to 'Jakupovic/Salden' if the team of Jakupovic/Salden advances against McGiffin/Wagner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between McGiffin/Wagner and Jakupovic/Salden in the Samsun, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'McGiffin/Wagner' if the team of McGiffin/Wagner advances against Jakupovic/Salden. This market will resolve to 'Jakupovic/Salden' if the team of Jakupovic/Salden advances against McGiffin/Wagner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their view. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take the opposite position, driving the price on Polymarket toward what they believe is the true probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of information is publicly available, but they tend to converge as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. Currently, the market indicates a strong likelihood of one team winning, but this can change based on trader activity and any relevant news regarding player form or conditions.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Samsun doubles match—whether McGiffin/Wagner or Jakupovic/Salden win—will be used to determine the winning share. The platform relies on publicly available and widely accepted sources to verify the match’s official result, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official tennis news outlets for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament or strong performances by either team in other matches could also impact the odds. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations, causing the price to move. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading patterns on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential shifts.