TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dominika Salkova and Himeno Sakatsume in the Samsun, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dominika Salkova' if Dominika Salkova advances against Himeno Sakatsume. This market will resolve to 'Himeno Sakatsume' if Himeno Sakatsume advances against Dominika Salkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dominika Salkova and Himeno Sakatsume in the Samsun, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dominika Salkova' if Dominika Salkova advances against Himeno Sakatsume. This market will resolve to 'Himeno Sakatsume' if Himeno Sakatsume advances against Dominika Salkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance their risk, factoring in a profit margin, while this market represents the collective belief of informed traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one player, but this market shows a more even distribution, it could indicate that traders perceive an advantage not fully captured by traditional oddsmakers. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the likely winner of the Salkova vs Sakatsume match. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Salkova vs Sakatsume match, as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will then determine the winning outcome based on this official result, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match results to understand how this market will be resolved. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather conditions impacting the match could trigger movement. Unexpected announcements about player form, or significant shifts in public opinion based on pre-match analysis, could also play a role. Major upsets in related matches, or even social media buzz surrounding the players, might also cause traders to reassess their positions and adjust their predictions before Oct 12, 2026. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts.