TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 9:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aysegul Mert and Viktoria Hruncakova in the Samsun, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aysegul Mert' if Aysegul Mert advances against Viktoria Hruncakova. This market will resolve to 'Viktoria Hruncakova' if Viktoria Hruncakova advances against Aysegul Mert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aysegul Mert and Viktoria Hruncakova in the Samsun, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aysegul Mert' if Aysegul Mert advances against Viktoria Hruncakova. This market will resolve to 'Viktoria Hruncakova' if Viktoria Hruncakova advances against Aysegul Mert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probabilities as perceived by the crowd. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, prediction markets can quickly adjust to new information or changing sentiment, potentially offering more accurate probabilities as the event approaches. It's common to see differences emerge as new data becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official result of the Samsun tennis match between Aysegul Mert and Viktoria Hruncakova as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Aysegul Mert or Viktoria Hruncakova, or changes in playing conditions (such as weather) could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players leading up to the event could also shift expectations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in perceived probabilities, causing the odds to adjust accordingly.