TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 9:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ayla Aksu and Lucrezia Stefanini in the Samsun, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ayla Aksu' if Ayla Aksu advances against Lucrezia Stefanini. This market will resolve to 'Lucrezia Stefanini' if Lucrezia Stefanini advances against Ayla Aksu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ayla Aksu and Lucrezia Stefanini in the Samsun, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ayla Aksu' if Ayla Aksu advances against Lucrezia Stefanini. This market will resolve to 'Lucrezia Stefanini' if Lucrezia Stefanini advances against Ayla Aksu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market aggregates individual predictions. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, the prediction market may show a different probability for a given outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before major events or when new information emerges, offering a potentially valuable comparison point for those analyzing the Aksu-Stefanini match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Aksu-Stefanini match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and differing opinions, creating a dynamic and responsive market. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the likelihood of each player winning, based on available data and their own analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Aksu-Stefanini match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the match, as officially declared by tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a transparent and accurate determination of the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result as the resolution date approaches, as this will dictate the payout of shares.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches, analysis from tennis experts, or even social media buzz surrounding the players could also cause price fluctuations. A strong showing by either Ayla Aksu or Lucrezia Stefanini in a warm-up match, or any indication of a change in their form, would likely be reflected in the market’s pricing.