TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 8:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ayla Aksu and Himeno Sakatsume in the Samsun, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ayla Aksu' if Ayla Aksu advances against Himeno Sakatsume. This market will resolve to 'Himeno Sakatsume' if Himeno Sakatsume advances against Ayla Aksu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ayla Aksu and Himeno Sakatsume in the Samsun, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ayla Aksu' if Ayla Aksu advances against Himeno Sakatsume. This market will resolve to 'Himeno Sakatsume' if Himeno Sakatsume advances against Ayla Aksu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective intelligence of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct. Analyzing these differences can offer valuable insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the market's assessment of the probabilities. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the Aksu vs Sakatsume match.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Aksu vs Sakatsume match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions impacting the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the athletes’ form or performance in preceding matches will also likely have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket can create momentum and influence the market price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market is evolving.