TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 7:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ayla Aksu and Fiona Crawley in the Samsun, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ayla Aksu' if Ayla Aksu advances against Fiona Crawley. This market will resolve to 'Fiona Crawley' if Fiona Crawley advances against Ayla Aksu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ayla Aksu and Fiona Crawley in the Samsun, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ayla Aksu' if Ayla Aksu advances against Fiona Crawley. This market will resolve to 'Fiona Crawley' if Fiona Crawley advances against Ayla Aksu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of traders who have skin in the game. If sportsbooks heavily favor one player, this market might show a different probability if traders believe the other player has a higher chance of winning. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, biases, or simply a different assessment of player form. Examining both sets of odds can provide a more comprehensive view of the potential outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment regarding the Aksu vs Crawley match.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Aksu vs Crawley match as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either Ayla Aksu or Fiona Crawley could also impact their perceived chances of winning. Furthermore, analysis from tennis experts or significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks might cause traders to reassess their positions. Major upsets or surprising performances during warm-up matches could also contribute to price movements.