TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:27 PM EST
Kalshi
Two soccer teams compete in a professional league match where the outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. The result will determine whether one team secured a victory during the standard match duration.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Sampdoria vs Arezzo professional Serie B soccer game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Sampdoria wins, its market resolves to Yes; if Arezzo wins, its market resolves to Yes; if the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that market participants have information or beliefs that differ from those factored into the sportsbook’s pricing. It’s important to consider both sources when forming your own assessment of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume provide insights into the level of confidence traders have in their predictions. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sampdoria vs Arezzo match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the final result. The platform ensures a transparent and reliable resolution process, providing clarity and certainty for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could cause the odds to move. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-game analysis from respected sports commentators, could also impact trader sentiment. Significant betting activity from informed traders could also create price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the evolving dynamics and potential shifts in the market’s assessment of the Sampdoria vs Arezzo match.