TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 5:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential between Samford and Furman in their college football matchup. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, determining whether the winning team exceeded that margin.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Samford vs Furman college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. If Furman wins by exceeding the specified point margin, the corresponding 'Furman wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes; if Samford wins by exceeding its specified margin, that market resolves to Yes. Markets remain open if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, resolving based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging towards what many consider the 'true' probability of an event. This can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds, which may be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to buy or sell contracts based on their own assessment of the Samford vs Furman spread. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs, but as the event approaches, the two may align more closely.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly posting bids (prices they’re willing to buy at) and asks (prices they’re willing to sell at). The current price reflects the point at which buyers and sellers agree. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation of the Samford vs Furman spread. Buying a contract means you believe the spread will be *above* the listed price, while selling a contract means you believe it will be *below*. The price itself represents the probability of that outcome, expressed as a value between 0 and 100.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Samford vs Furman game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine whether contracts predicting a spread above or below the listed value will pay out. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout of 100, while those on the incorrect side will lose their investment. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Samford or Furman teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, can also play a role, though this market is driven by actual trading activity. Late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could also lead to shifts in price as traders adjust their expectations regarding the Samford vs Furman spread.