TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Serie C soccer match between Sambenedettese and Livorno. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Sambenedettese vs Livorno professional Serie C soccer game scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Sambenedettese resolves the 'Sambenedettese' market to Yes; a win for Livorno resolves the 'Livorno' market to Yes; and a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers regular time results, with no account for extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they can drive the price on Kalshi in the opposite direction. This can lead to discrepancies between the two, potentially offering opportunities for informed traders. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially when complex factors are at play.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Sambenedettese vs Livorno match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of collective belief. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price movements, creating a self-regulating system for forecasting the event’s result.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Sambenedettese vs Livorno match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The platform will then verify the outcome and settle all outstanding contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor the official results to understand when the market will officially close.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sambenedettese or Livorno would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in recent matches, could also influence trader sentiment. Even weather forecasts, particularly if adverse conditions are predicted, might impact the perceived probabilities. Major tactical announcements from either team’s management could also shift the market, as could any significant public endorsements or analyses relating to the match’s potential outcome.