TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 9:40 PM EST
Kalshi
Two college football teams will face off in an early game segment, with the outcome determined solely by which squad leads at halftime. The result hinges on the points scored during the first two quarters of play.
The market resolves based on which team leads at the end of the first half of the designated college football game. If either team holds a points advantage after the first half, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the actual halftime result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. A tie at halftime also resolves its specific market to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to trade based on their own insights, leading to odds that can diverge from sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate unique factors not fully captured by traditional bookmakers, providing a distinct perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a specific outcome – in this case, one team winning the first half. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a 0% to 100% chance of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in their victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective beliefs of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the first half of the Sam Houston vs Missouri St. game will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and results, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the winning team. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Sam Houston or Missouri St. teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift market sentiment. Even public perception, driven by social media or expert analysis, can contribute to fluctuations in the price of this market.