TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Sam Houston vs. Liberty
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Sam Houston vs. Liberty?

Volume:
$1,721,771

Liberty

 - Kalshi

Liberty - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 10:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Liberty

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$913,687
N/A
N/A
$599,986
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29,382
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -20.5

View
100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,127
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -7.5

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,476
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,996
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,325
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 37.5

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,548
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,305
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Liberty O/U 23.5

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,218
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$718
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$231
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1Q Spread -3.5

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 35.5

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sam Houston

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$647,403
N/A
N/A
$490,315
Settled
No
polymarket

Sam Houston vs. Liberty

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56,135
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 53.5

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,633
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 43.5

View
0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,189
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1H O/U 27.5

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,745
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 49.5

View
0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,205
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 216

Intro

This market tracks the total 4th down conversions—over or under 0.5—in the Sam Houston versus Liberty college football game. Currently, the consensus probability favors over 0.5 total 4th down conversions at 100.0%. This aggregate view combines data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on data reported at https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 8th, as the final 4th down conversion count will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi offers a binary 'game happens' market, while Polymarket provides a suite of markets including winner, spreads, and totals, creating significant SKU risk.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket markets for more specific predictions. Be cautious of Kalshi's broad 'game happens' market as it lacks predictive value beyond the game occurring.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if the game is played, regardless of the outcome. 'If Liberty wins the Sam Houston vs Liberty college football game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sam Houston wins the Sam Houston vs Liberty college football game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team (Sam Houston or Liberty) or 50/50 in a tie. Includes numerous spread and over/under markets. 'This market will resolve to "Sam Houston" if Sam Houston win the game. This market will resolve to "Liberty" if Liberty win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Sam Houston and Liberty, scheduled for October 8 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sam Houston" if Sam Houston win the game. This market will resolve to "Liberty" if Liberty win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the specified team if they win the game on the scheduled date. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original time, the market stays open and resolves based on the final outcome. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi has no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert analysis. The efficiency of prediction markets means prices tend to adjust rapidly to new information, potentially anticipating shifts before sportsbooks do. It's also worth noting that prediction markets sometimes offer markets on events sportsbooks don't cover.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in price between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform has its own user base, with varying levels of expertise and access to information about the Sam Houston vs. Liberty game. Trading fees and market-making incentives also differ, influencing how prices are set. Additionally, the liquidity on each platform—reflected in the volume—can impact price discovery. Lower volume may lead to greater price volatility and divergence. Finally, differing interpretations of available data or news regarding team performance or player availability can contribute to these price discrepancies.