TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 2:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Europa League soccer match between Salzburg and Milan. Participants predict whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Salzburg vs Milan Europa League match scheduled for October 15, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5). For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the combined goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time—but excluding extra time or penalty shootouts—must exceed the respective threshold. All markets share the same underlying match and time parameters, ensuring consistency across evaluations. The resolution strictly adheres to the official match result as recorded by the governing league, with no affiliation or endorsement implied from Kalshi towards the league or its trademarks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective forecast. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the available buy and sell orders at various price levels, indicating potential support and resistance. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of goals scored in the Salzburg vs Milan match will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals scored will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the Salzburg vs Milan goals market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could impact the style of play and potentially reduce the number of goals scored. Unexpected tactical decisions by the managers, or even early goals scored during the match, could also shift trader sentiment and alter the price of contracts in this market. Any significant news related to team form or motivation could also play a role.