TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:56 PM EST
Kalshi
Two Argentine soccer teams, Salta and Quilmes, will compete in a professional match. The outcome depends solely on which team secures a victory within the standard 90-minute regulation time plus any added stoppage time, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts.
The market resolves based on the result of the Salta vs Quilmes professional Argentine Nacional B soccer game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. A win for Salta within 90 minutes plus stoppage time resolves the 'Salta' market to Yes. A win for Quilmes within the same time frame resolves the 'Quilmes' market to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows traders to dynamically adjust probabilities based on new information and collective belief. If a significant amount of money is wagered on one outcome, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially diverging from sportsbook lines. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The closer the event gets, the more volatile the prices may become as new information emerges and traders refine their predictions. The current market reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Salta vs Quilmes match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—Salta winning, Quilmes winning, or a draw—is the accurate result. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift the odds. Weather conditions on the day of the match, as well as any pre-game analysis from sports commentators, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could cause noticeable price movements. Public perception and media coverage leading up to the Salta vs Quilmes match will likely play a role in how this market evolves.