TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 11:35 PM EST
Kalshi
In this spread betting scenario, participants assess whether Salt Lake achieves a decisive victory over San Jose. The focus is on the margin of win during standard match time, disregarding any post-regulation resolutions.
All markets resolve based on the goal differential if Salt Lake or San Jose wins the professional MLS soccer game scheduled for Oct 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded. Markets specify different win margins: Salt Lake wins by more than 2.5 goals, Salt Lake wins by more than 1.5 goals, San Jose wins by more than 1.5 goals, or San Jose wins by more than 2.5 goals. If the specified condition is met, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant information emerges. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can reveal where the crowd believes there’s value, or where the sportsbook may be over or underestimating a team’s chances.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing their beliefs about the Salt Lake vs San Jose spread. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds based on their own analysis and information, and the market price adjusts dynamically as new information becomes available and more traders participate. This creates a real-time assessment of the likely outcome, driven by collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Salt Lake vs San Jose game, as officially reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which side of the spread was correct, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to those who held contracts on the winning side. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Salt Lake or San Jose teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies, unexpected team performance in preceding games, or even weather conditions on game day could all impact trader sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 15, 2026.