TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event centers on the MLS match between Salt Lake and Saint Louis scheduled for October 24, 2026, focusing on whether each team scores at least one goal during the match's regular time, which includes the 90 minutes plus stoppage time but excludes extra time and penalty kicks. The resolution depends entirely on the scoring activity of both teams within these time frames.
If Salt Lake and Saint Louis both score a goal in the Salt Lake vs Saint Louis MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Typically, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially when considering the influence of public bias in sportsbook lines. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies may reveal interesting insights into differing perceptions of the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe both Salt Lake and Saint Louis will score, the price of the 'Yes' contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether both Salt Lake and Saint Louis score at least one goal during the match. Official match results will be used to determine the outcome, and the market will settle accordingly. The final price will reflect the accuracy of the market’s predictions leading up to the event’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Salt Lake or Saint Louis would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, weather conditions on match day, and even tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, could all contribute to price movements. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role in how this market trades.