TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Los Angeles G wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Los Angeles G wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 05d:07h:31m
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This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming professional soccer match between Salt Lake and Los Angeles. Each market corresponds to a specific goal-differential threshold that determines the outcome. The resolution depends entirely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the goal differential of the Salt Lake vs Los Angeles G professional MLS soccer game scheduled for November 7, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team achieves a margin of victory exceeding the specified threshold for each respective market: Salt Lake must win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, while Los Angeles G must win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. No market considers results from extra time, penalty kicks, or any post-regulation proceedings. All markets operate independently, meaning each evaluates its own condition without affecting the others. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the MLS or its governing bodies, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments of the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying perspectives on the teams' strengths and weaknesses. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or as the event draws nearer. Examining both can offer a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Salt Lake vs Los Angeles spread. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating the final result. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and interest in each possible outcome for the spread, providing a dynamic measure of expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Salt Lake vs Los Angeles game. The market will settle based on the point differential between the two teams at the end of regulation play. Any overtime periods will not be considered in determining the outcome. Traders holding contracts on the winning side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the losing side may incur a loss, depending on the contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the Salt Lake vs Los Angeles spread market. Key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause significant movement, as would any major changes in team performance or coaching strategies. Unexpected news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also impact the market. Public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and expert analysis, can also play a role, although prediction markets tend to be less susceptible to hype than traditional betting markets. Any late-breaking news related to the game itself, such as weather conditions, could also lead to shifts in the market.