TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Taca de Portugal, focusing on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It allows participants to speculate on whether one team will secure a victory or if the game will end in a draw within the regular time frame. The resolution depends solely on the match's final score after regular play, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Salgueiros vs Estoril professional Taca de Portugal soccer match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Salgueiros wins under Rule 1, Estoril wins under Rule 2, or the match ends in a tie under Rule 3. All markets share a common secondary rule: if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, it will resolve to a fair price. The markets exclusively consider the result after regular time, with no account for extra time or penalty phases. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives as traders buy and sell contracts. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the crowd believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome in the Salgueiros vs Estoril match. It's a useful comparison to consider when forming your own opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy 'yes' contracts (betting on an outcome to happen) and 'no' contracts (betting on it not to happen). The price of each contract represents the implied probability of that outcome. As more people buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as traders react to news and analysis related to the Salgueiros vs Estoril match, adjusting their positions and influencing the price.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Salgueiros vs Estoril match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will determine the winning contract based on the final score and any applicable rules for the match, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled accordingly.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, updates on team performance in recent matches, tactical adjustments, or even public sentiment expressed through sports media could all impact trading volume and contract prices. Major upsets in related matches or significant changes in betting patterns at sportsbooks could also cause traders to reassess their positions.