TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 5:08 PM EST
Kalshi
Two soccer teams compete in a professional match where the outcome depends solely on who wins in regulation time, excluding extra periods or penalty kicks. The result is determined after 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time.
If Salamanca wins the Salamanca vs Celta Vigo professional Copa del Rey soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Celta Vigo wins the Salamanca vs Celta Vigo professional Copa del Rey soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Salamanca vs Celta Vigo professional Copa del Rey soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading. If you believe the market is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome, you can capitalize on the difference between Kalshi’s odds and those found at sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive market. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and those with inaccurate views may incur losses.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Salamanca vs Celta Vigo match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will determine which team won the match in regulation time, or if the match ended in a draw. No additional information will be considered beyond the official result as reported by trusted sports news sources. The final price of the contracts will reflect the actual outcome of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift expectations. Significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected by betting patterns or expert analysis, will also impact the market. Unexpected lineup announcements or in-game events during other matches involving these teams could also create movement. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities as the match approaches.