What is the highest scoring quarter?

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each quarter being the highest scoring. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s potential results, based on the actions of all participants.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The quarter with the highest combined score between the Saints and Giants will be declared the winner. Official NFL game statistics will be used to determine the final scores for each quarter. Traders who hold shares in the winning quarter will receive a payout of 1 USDC per share, while shares in losing quarters will be worth 0 USDC. The resolution will be based on the official game results.

Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Saints or Giants would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing game, could also move the market. Furthermore, any significant pre-game analysis from reputable sports analysts predicting a high-scoring or low-scoring game could sway trader sentiment. Unexpected starting quarterback announcements or changes in coaching strategies could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.