TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 2:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional basketball game between Saint Quentin and Limoges CSP, reflecting the competitive performance of the two teams in a scheduled match. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the official game. Any changes to the game's timing or cancellation will follow specific guidelines to ensure a fair resolution.
The event determines the winner of the men's professional LNB Elite basketball game between Saint Quentin and Limoges CSP, scheduled for October 3, 2026, at 12:30 PM EDT. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see this market diverge from sportsbook lines, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The current market depth and order flow can be viewed directly on the Kalshi dashboard, offering insights into trader sentiment and activity.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Saint Quentin vs Limoges CSP basketball game. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the game’s final score to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even broader trends within the French basketball league, could also shift expectations. Public opinion and media coverage, while less direct, can also play a role in influencing trading activity and ultimately, the market’s price. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.