TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 2:12 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional basketball teams compete in a league match where the outcome determines the winner based on the final score.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the men's professional LNB Elite basketball game originally scheduled for October 17, 2026, at 12:00 PM EDT. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market aims to reflect the true probability as assessed by traders. However, discrepancies can still occur due to differing information, biases, or simply varying levels of participation. It's common to find that this market’s implied probabilities diverge from initial sportsbook offerings, especially as new information becomes available and trading volume increases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly evolving, offering opportunities for traders to profit from perceived mispricings or shifts in sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the French basketball league match between Saint Quentin and Elan Bearnais Pau-Lacq-Orthez, as reported by official league sources. The winning outcome in this market will correspond to the team that is officially declared the victor of the game.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could all impact perceptions of each team’s chances. Unexpected performance in prior matches, or even significant media coverage analyzing team strengths and weaknesses, can also drive movement. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either team winning are likely to be reflected in the market price.