TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 7:40 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Premier Division (Ireland) game, scheduled for October 30 at 3:45 PM ET.
More markets for the Premier Division (Ireland) game, scheduled for October 30 at 3:45 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. For this market, comparing the probabilities offered on Polymarket to those found at traditional sportsbooks can reveal interesting discrepancies. Sportsbooks often set lines to encourage balanced betting, while a prediction market aims to accurately reflect the true probability of an event occurring. It’s possible that prediction market prices will converge with sportsbook odds as more information becomes available, but differences can present opportunities for arbitrage.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Irish Premier League match between Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC and Bohemians Dublin FC. Any official updates or changes to the match schedule will be considered when determining the final resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the most accurate and up-to-date information regarding the event and its eventual outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could shift probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also influence the outcome and, consequently, the market prices. Furthermore, real-time updates during the match itself, such as early goals or red cards, will likely cause rapid price adjustments. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role, although the market is primarily driven by trading activity on Polymarket.