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$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Stanford Cardinal (W)
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Stanford Cardinal?

Total volume:
$147
Volume 24h:
$116N/A
Liquidity:
$3
1,255%
Open interest:
$147
372%

Stanford

 - Kalshi

Stanford - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 5, 2026

Time left: 02d:01h:34m

Stanford wins

90%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 94¢ buys you 106 shares | Odds: 90% Total Payout: $106 | Net Profit: $6 Multiplier: 1.06x | ROI: 6% APY not meaningful 2 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Stanford

Trade
90%
24%
Yes 94¢No 20¢
14¢
N/A
$147
372%
N/A
$147
2d 1h 34m
Active
polymarket

Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Stanford Cardinal (W)

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 22h 34m
Active
kalshi

Saint Mary's

Trade
N/A
N/A
12¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 1h 34m
Active
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Saint Mary's Gaels and Stanford Cardinal, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026. The markets ask who will win the game, with provisions for cancellation or abandonment.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines 'Yes' as either team winning, while Polymarket requires a definitively determined outcome, potentially excluding scenarios where a game is abandoned with a clear but unofficial lead.Hero tip: Be aware that Kalshi's market will resolve 'Yes' if a winner is declared, even if the game is not completed. Polymarket's resolution is more reliant on official sources and may not resolve in the same scenario.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on a definitively determined outcome before abandonment, with a 50-50 split for cancellations/abandonments. "If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand."
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if either Stanford or Saint Mary's wins the game. "If Stanford wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Saint Mary's wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming CWBB game between Saint Mary's Gaels and Stanford Cardinal, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If Stanford wins the Saint Mary's vs Stanford women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Saint Mary's wins the Saint Mary's vs Stanford women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Saint Mary's vs. Stanford game. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $147, with $116 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see how predictions are evolving in real-time. The dashboard displays the probabilities implied by the trading activity on each platform, offering a comprehensive look at market sentiment. It’s a useful tool for understanding where the crowd believes the outcome of this game is headed, and how that belief is changing.

Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by sportsbooks due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin, while prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of traders incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market, like others, can sometimes offer more favorable odds than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. The efficiency of prediction markets can lead to more accurate probabilities as the event approaches, potentially offering an edge to informed traders.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market may differ due to variations in trader participation, liquidity, and perceived information advantages. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and analytical approaches, leading to distinct price discovery processes. Additionally, the specific market structures and fee schedules on Polymarket versus Kalshi can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the implied probabilities. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both markets address the same underlying event.

This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Saint Mary's vs. Stanford game, as reported by official sources. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market data following the game’s completion. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants in this market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could shift predictions. Public sentiment, reflected in sports news and social media, can also influence trading activity. Furthermore, as the game approaches, updated statistical analyses and expert opinions may emerge, prompting traders to reassess their positions. This market will resolve around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome verified against credible public reporting of the game's result.