TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 5:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Saint Martin and the Bahamas. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the competitive nature of the game and the potential for various scoring outcomes.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total goals scored in the Saint Martin vs Bahamas professional CONCACAF Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 6, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties) exceed the specified threshold—ranging from 0.5 to 5.5 goals. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately. The rules clarify that Kalshi is not affiliated with CONCACAF, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners. The resolution is based solely on the official match result as recorded by CONCACAF.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when there’s considerable uncertainty surrounding the outcome. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights, but it’s important to remember they represent different approaches to forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing different potential goal totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and interest in each possible outcome, providing a dynamic view of expectations for the Saint Martin vs Bahamas match.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Saint Martin vs Bahamas match will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official match statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and the corresponding payout for their contracts after the event has concluded and the data has been verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi can quickly move the price, reflecting a sudden change in market sentiment. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.