TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$181,481,432

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,827,991,073

405,996

Markets across

40,551

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,368

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Saint-Martin vs. Bahamas
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Saint-Martin vs. Bahamas?

Volume:
$281,419

Saint-Martin

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 5:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Saint-Martin

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,401
N/A
N/A
$20,347
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Saint-Martin

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,231
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bahamas

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$151,021
N/A
N/A
$116,904
Settled
No
polymarket

Bahamas

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,482
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74,274
N/A
N/A
$63,418
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Saint-Martin vs. Bahamas)

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,010
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Saint-Martin and Bahamas in the Concacaf Nations League, scheduled for October 6, 2026. Markets exist for Saint-Martin winning, Bahamas winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets define resolution based on the same timeframe (90 minutes + stoppage time) and use a consistent hierarchy of resolution sources.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (Concacaf).

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves based on the outcome (win, loss, or draw) within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is canceled with no make-up game, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used, followed by Sofascore, and finally a consensus of credible reporting.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Data Availability: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the markets resolve 50-50 (or to 'Draw' where applicable).
Timing: Resolution will occur after the completion of the game, ideally within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, but no later than 24 hours.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Saint-Martin and Bahamas.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Saint-Martin vs Bahamas professional Concacaf Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 6, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Saint-Martin, a win for Bahamas, or a tie. If either team wins within regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve at a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The rules explicitly state that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Saint-Martin vs. Bahamas match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $281,419, with $261,186 traded in the last 24 hours. The leading prediction, as indicated by the combined probabilities, suggests a high likelihood of a draw. This market provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the probabilities of different outcomes, offering a unique perspective beyond traditional odds-making. The dashboard consolidates data from both venues to present a comprehensive overview of market sentiment.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks primarily aim to balance risk and profit, while prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more accurate probability assessment, particularly when significant information isn't yet widely available. However, sportsbook odds are influenced by factors like house edge and betting limits, which aren't present in decentralized prediction markets. Examining both sets of odds provides a broader understanding of potential outcomes for this market.