TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 10:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Saint Louis and Vancouver. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, determining whether the game will be high-scoring or more defensive in nature. The outcomes depend solely on the final tally of goals after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty kicks.
The official rules for this event collectively assess various thresholds of total goals scored in the Saint Louis vs Vancouver MLS soccer match scheduled for October 14, 2026. All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Each market corresponds to a specific numerical threshold—ranging from over 0.5 goals to over 5.5 goals—and resolves to 'Yes' if the actual total goals exceed the respective threshold. The structure allows participants to evaluate the likelihood of increasingly high-scoring outcomes. All markets share identical secondary disclaimers stating that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and that all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners. The consistent application of these rules ensures clarity and uniformity across all outcome assessments for this event.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to remember that both types of odds represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Saint Louis vs Vancouver match. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Traders are constantly updating their beliefs, leading to dynamic price movements until the event concludes.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Saint Louis vs Vancouver match will be used to determine the winning contracts. This includes any goals scored during regulation time or any added extra time, but excludes penalty shootouts. The final score will be sourced from official match data and verified to ensure accuracy, and that determines which contracts pay out.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to and during the Saint Louis vs Vancouver match. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect the market. Furthermore, in-game events such as early goals, red cards, or tactical adjustments made by the coaches could lead to rapid shifts in the odds as traders react to the unfolding action. Public sentiment and late-breaking analysis could also play a role.