TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 10:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the Saint Louis vs Vancouver professional MLS soccer game will end in a tie. Currently, “Tie is the result” is trading at 41.0% on Kalshi, while “Vancouver wins” is at 36.0%. The market will resolve based on the result of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official game outcome. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Saint Louis wins the game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026, and will be settled by the resolution date estimate of 2026-10-15.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Saint Louis vs Vancouver professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for the Saint Louis or Vancouver markets occurs if the respective team wins the match within regulation time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends in a draw after regulation. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The markets exclusively consider the result after regular time and do not account for outcomes determined during extra time, penalty kicks, or other post-regulation proceedings.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see this market adjust more dynamically to news and events than fixed sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Saint Louis vs Vancouver match, as reported by official sources. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The exact payout amount will depend on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team performance, coaching changes, or even weather conditions could shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or key player availability would likely cause significant price movements. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also play a role, though this market ultimately reflects the beliefs of those actively trading on Kalshi.