TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an MLS soccer match between Saint Louis and San Diego FC, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold set in different markets. The result is determined solely by regular time scoring, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates various goal-differential thresholds for the Saint Louis vs San Diego FC MLS match scheduled for October 31, 2026. Resolution depends on whether Saint Louis wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or whether San Diego FC wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and not including extra time or penalties. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, with the outcome resolving to 'Yes' if the stated condition is met. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven by participants directly predicting the outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that prediction market traders have access to, or place more weight on, different information than sportsbook operators. It’s common to see odds converge as the event approaches, but differences can persist due to varying perspectives.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Saint Louis vs San Diego FC match, specifically the spread as determined by official match statistics. The winning outcome will be the one that accurately predicts whether Saint Louis wins by more than the specified spread, or if San Diego FC covers the spread.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or significant shifts in team performance could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from sports commentators could also play a role. Public perception and betting trends from traditional sportsbooks may also indirectly affect the market, as traders incorporate all available information into their predictions. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements.