TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an MLS soccer match between Saint Louis and San Diego FC scheduled for October 31, 2026. The result will be determined by the final score after the regulation 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Saint Louis vs San Diego FC professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Saint Louis wins, the 'Saint Louis' market resolves to Yes. If San Diego FC wins, the 'San Diego FC' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. As a result, you may see discrepancies between the two. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, and can sometimes offer more favorable odds than sportsbooks, depending on how the public perceives the likelihood of a particular result. This is especially true as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what percentage of the event’s outcome is already ‘priced in’ by the market. Traders aim to profit by identifying discrepancies between their own beliefs and the market's implied probabilities, effectively betting on their forecasts.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Saint Louis FC vs San Diego FC match, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could all impact the perceived probabilities. Significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in media coverage or social media discussions, can also drive price movements. Furthermore, as the match date approaches, any updates on team performance or tactical strategies could lead to increased trading volume and adjustments in the market’s assessment of the likely outcome. Unexpected announcements related to the teams or the event itself could also play a role.