TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 10:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Saint Louis and Portland scheduled for October 28, 2026. The resolution depends solely on the result after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The market covers three possible outcomes: a win for Saint Louis, a win for Portland, or a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Saint Louis vs Portland professional MLS soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Saint Louis, a win for Portland, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The markets are independent of any official league affiliation, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and perspectives that sportsbooks may overlook, potentially offering a more accurate forecast of the Saint Louis vs Portland game’s result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome happens, effectively translating beliefs into quantifiable probabilities for the Saint Louis vs Portland game.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official outcome of the Saint Louis vs Portland game, as determined by official league sources. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The resolution process is designed to be clear and reliable, providing a definitive outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected developments related to either Saint Louis or Portland could significantly shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other games involving these teams, or even broader shifts in public perception, can also play a role. Furthermore, significant trading volume itself can create momentum, causing prices to move rapidly as traders react to each other's actions. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price fluctuations.