TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 8:00 PM EST
Kalshi
In the MLS match between Saint Louis and Los Angeles G on October 11, 2026, this event tracks whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during regular time, which includes the 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time.
If Saint Louis and Los Angeles G both score a goal in the Saint Louis vs Los Angeles G MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial line setting. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It's important to note that both sources offer valuable insights, and comparing them can help form a more informed opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Saint Louis vs Los Angeles game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The current top market on Kalshi is for both teams to score, and the volume traded suggests considerable interest in this possibility.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether both Saint Louis and Los Angeles score at least one goal during the game. Official match results from reputable sports news sources will be used to determine the final outcome. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Saint Louis or Los Angeles would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on game day, or even tactical changes announced by the coaches, might also cause the market to move. Furthermore, any major shifts in public opinion or betting trends observed in sportsbooks could spill over and affect trading activity on Kalshi.