TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 9:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Saint Louis will win its professional MLS soccer game against Los Angeles G after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, Kalshi gives Saint Louis a 99.0% probability of winning, while Los Angeles G is at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game as reported by official sources. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Saint Louis wins the game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, and will be finalized no later than the resolution date estimate of 2026-10-12.
The event resolves based on the result of the Saint Louis vs Los Angeles G professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Saint Louis, a win for Los Angeles G, or a tie. If the game ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the match be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The markets operate independently of any official affiliation with the MLS or its governing bodies, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective forecast of informed traders. Frequently, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or initial sportsbook lines, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing participant expertise and the incentives at play in each venue. It's common to see this market adjust based on news and analysis that hasn't fully impacted sportsbook odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular result, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of it happening. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a decentralized mechanism, allowing traders to directly influence the odds based on their own research and insights. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Saint Louis vs Los Angeles game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official results will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. This process ensures a fair and reliable resolution for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 12, 2026. Key player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even unexpected weather conditions could all shift the perceived probabilities. Major news reports about team morale or coaching decisions could also impact trading activity. Unexpected upsets in other games involving these teams could also lead to adjustments as traders re-evaluate their predictions. Any significant development impacting the perceived competitiveness of either team has the potential to move this market substantially.