TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 10:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether New Orleans or Sacramento will win a professional basketball game scheduled for October 29, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives New Orleans a 92.0% probability of winning, while Sacramento is at 8.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Sacramento vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game, as determined by the official game result. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Sacramento wins the game originally scheduled for October 29, 2026, and will be finalized by the resolution date of October 30, 2026.
The event resolves based on the winner of the Sacramento vs New Orleans professional basketball game scheduled for October 29, 2026. If Sacramento wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and New Orleans’ market resolves to No, and vice versa. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets operate independently of any official league affiliations, using only the official game result as the basis for resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or focus on public perception, while this market aggregates the views of numerous traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or lineup changes – the odds in this market can shift more rapidly than those offered by sportsbooks, potentially providing a more accurate assessment of the game's likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early in the trading period.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As traders exchange positions, the prices adjust, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the matchup. The more traders believe Sacramento will win, the higher the price of contracts predicting that outcome will climb, and vice versa for New Orleans.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team wins the Sacramento versus New Orleans NBA game. The final score, as reported by official NBA sources, will determine the winning team and trigger the settlement of all outstanding contracts in this market. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sacramento or New Orleans would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in team performance, such as a winning or losing streak, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments could further move the market. Finally, even public perception and media coverage surrounding the matchup can contribute to fluctuations in trading volume and price, as traders react to new information and analysis.