TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
UT Arlington
- Kalshi
UT Arlington - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 22h:28m:29s
$
This prediction group concerns the outcome of the women's college basketball game between Sacramento State Hornets and UT Arlington Mavericks scheduled for November 3, 2026. The markets ask whether either team will win the game.
This event is for the WBB game between Sacramento State Hornets and UT Arlington Mavericks on November 3 at 7:30PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if that team wins the women's college basketball game originally scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its original start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to profit from setting lines, while prediction market traders are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more accurate probability assessment, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and can influence trading activity within this market, creating a dynamic relationship between the two.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to variations in trader participation, market design, and liquidity. Polymarket currently favors Sacramento State Hornets vs. UT Arlington Mavericks (W) at 50.0%, while Kalshi leans toward UT Arlington wins at 79.0%. These discrepancies arise because each platform attracts a different user base with varying opinions and risk tolerances. Furthermore, the specific rules and fee structures of each platform can influence trading behavior and price discovery. The volume traded on each platform also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to tighter spreads and more accurate price signals.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Sacramento State vs. UT Arlington game will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be rewarded based on the odds at the time of their trade, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Sacramento State or UT Arlington teams would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts impacting game conditions, or even significant media coverage influencing public perception could also move the market. Unexpected upsets in other games involving these teams, or major announcements related to the tournament, could also influence trader behavior and adjust the odds in this market.