TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Sacramento Republic and Tulsa. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Sacramento Republic vs. Tulsa professional USL Championship soccer match exceed specified thresholds. The match in question is scheduled for November 1, 2026, and only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time count toward the resolution—goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts are excluded. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (e.g., over 0.5, over 1.5, etc.), with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the total goals surpass that threshold and 'No' otherwise. All markets share the same temporal and scoring conditions, ensuring consistency across thresholds. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks referenced remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a specific outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price and the implied probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions in real-time, driven entirely by supply and demand from participants.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Sacramento Republic vs Tulsa match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in the official match will be used to determine whether the over/under threshold has been met. The resolution will reflect the official result as reported by the league or governing body overseeing the match. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Sacramento Republic or Tulsa would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected goal total. Additionally, pre-match analysis from sports commentators or unexpected lineup announcements could shift market sentiment. Finally, even early goals scored during the match itself will cause rapid adjustments to the probabilities reflected in this market.