TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Sacramento Republic and Tulsa, focusing specifically on the result after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. The resolution depends solely on which team secures a victory within this timeframe, with a separate outcome for a tied result. The markets are designed to reflect the immediate final score without considering potential extra time or penalty shootouts that might occur in a full match.
The event involves determining the winner of a professional USL Championship soccer match between Sacramento Republic and Tulsa scheduled for November 1, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Sacramento Republic, a win for Tulsa, or a tie. If either team wins within the regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the platform's guidelines. The resolution explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootout results, focusing only on the standard match duration.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices efficiently, as they can profit by correctly predicting the event's result. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sacramento Republic vs Tulsa match, as determined by the league’s official records. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will not. The exact timing of resolution may depend on the availability of official results.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather conditions impacting the match could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, major news stories or public statements related to the teams or players could impact the market. Increased trading volume, driven by new information or a change in public perception, would also likely cause price movements in this market.