TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Sacramento Republic and Oakland Roots SC, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different winning margins in the Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots SC USL Championship game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Four distinct outcome thresholds are considered: Sacramento Republic winning by more than 2.5 goals, Sacramento Republic winning by more than 1.5 goals, Oakland Roots SC winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Oakland Roots SC winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty outcomes excluded from consideration. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s price is driven by actual money being placed on various outcomes. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply the influence of public opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the spread in the Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots SC match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread of the Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots SC match, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine winning contracts. The resolution process focuses on objectively verifying the result of the game, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all participants. The official result will be the determining factor for settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game is played. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team performance could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of buy or sell orders – can quickly move the price. Any information that alters the perceived probability of a particular spread occurring has the potential to impact this market.