TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:24 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between two teams competing in the USL Championship. The focus is solely on determining which team will secure a victory within the standard game duration, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts. The result hinges exclusively on the performance of the teams during the 90-minute regulation period plus any added stoppage time.
The event determines the winner of the Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots SC professional USL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for either team-specific market occurs only if that team wins within regulation time. If the match concludes in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The resolution strictly adheres to the regulation-time result, with no consideration for post-regulation proceedings.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into where the crowd believes the value lies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots SC match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The goal is to create a market where prices accurately reflect the likelihood of each potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots SC match, as determined by the league and reported by recognized sports news outlets. The market will settle to 100 for the winning outcome, and 0 for all others, based on the final score and any applicable tie-breaking rules. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could lead to price movements. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching changes might also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in the market.